Tilray stock price struggles above $20: What comes next for TLRY?

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne
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    Summary:
  • The Tilray stock price snapped 4 consecutive days of losses, closing slightly higher in yesterday's session. However, TLRY may soon resume the slide.

The Tilray stock price snapped 4 consecutive days of losses, closing slightly higher in yesterday’s session. However, TLRY may soon resume the slide.

Tilray (TLRY:NASDAQ) finished the day at $18.14, +$0.15 (+0.83%)

Following increasing mentions on Reddit’s ‘Wallstreetbets’ forum last month, it appeared Tilray was about to charge higher. However, after briefly clearing the 100-day moving average at $21.53, the rally faded, and TLRY is lower by 20%.

The Tilray stock price exploded from around $8.00 to $67.00 in a frenzied 6-week buying spree at the start of the year. Remarkably, even the 700% gain still left TLRY woefully short of its 2018 high of $300. In the four months that followed, the stock had given back 80% of the rally.

Despite the earlier excitement surrounding the cannabis sector, TLRY has failed to live up to the hype. So can the retail army get Tilray flying again, or is this latest rally doomed to fail?

TLRY price prediction

On the daily chart, we can see that after clearing the 50-day moving average at $17.24, the Tilray stock price accelerated higher. The subsequent buying momentum took the price to its recent $23.04 high, above the 100-day average at $21.52.

However, the price reversed lower intraday. And for the second time in a month, Tilray traded above the average before closing below.

So, the price is now wedged between the 100 DMA above and the 50 below. A close above $21.52 would be extremely positive and target the 15th of March high at $31.32.

However, if the price fails to hold $17.24, it will be staring at a major support level.

The 200-day moving average at $14.72 could be considered the most important level for TLRY bulls. Crucially, it is positioned just below trendline support at $14.90.

Therefore, if the price breaks below $14.72, substantial loses could follow.

Tilray stock price chart (Daily)

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne

Elliott Laybourne is an accomplished Hedge Fund sales and Investment bank trading specialist. Elliott also started a successful Base Metals Brokerage business in partnership with ABN AMRO clearing bank. He worked on the open outcry trading floors at the London International Financial Futures Exchange 'LIFFE' and the London Metal Exchange 'LME.' He also provided research and execution services for Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Schroders Asset Management, and Pennsylvania State Public School Employees Retirement System, as amongst others. Today, he focuses on providing trading consultancy and business development services for family office and brokerage clientele.

Published by
Written By: Elliott Laybourne