Silver Price Forecast: US Inflation Data in Focus

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Written By: Faith Maina
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    Summary:
  • Silver price is trading lower ahead of the US inflation data. After the expected knee-jerk reaction, silver price is likely to rebound.

Silver price is on a decline ahead of the US inflation data. Economists expect consumer prices to have risen by 4.7% in May on a year-on-year basis. This is in comparison to the prior month’s 4.2%. Notably, the US CPI numbers have come in higher-than-expected since March as inflation concerns heighten.

With the exclusion of food and energy components, analysts expect a core CPI reading of 3.4% YoY. This would be the highest surge since 1993. Higher-than-expected CPI numbers may trigger a knee-jerk reaction. However, the inflation data is likely to act as a bullish catalyst for silver price due to the metal’s status as a hedge against inflation.

Silver price will also be reacting to the initial jobless claims data. Analysts expect a reading of 370,000. The number is lower than the prior week’s 385,000. A better-than-expected reading will offer support to the US dollar while exerting pressure on the precious metal.

Silver technical outlook

Silver price is down by 0.49% at 27.63. In the previous session, it reached a one-week high of 28 before pulling back. On a two-hour chart, it is trading slightly below the 25 and 50-day exponential moving averages. I expect the precious metal to seesaw around the EMAs at 27.72 ahead of the US inflation data. As a reaction to the US CPI data, it may drop to find support at 27.50. However, it may then rebound to its next target at 28.

Silver price chart

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Written By: Faith Maina

Faith Maina is a financial analyst and economist. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Economics and is underway in her Master’s degree course. She has an expansive understanding of global markets and their drivers. Her specialities are currencies, crypto, commodities, and equities. She lives in Nairobi, Kenya with her husband and son.

Published by
Written By: Faith Maina