Silver Price Forecast: On Track for a Bullish Breakout

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Written By: Crispus Nyaga
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    Summary:
  • A look at the daily chart shows that the silver price seems like it is on track for a bullish break-out in the near term.

Silver price is in its third straight day of gains, helped by a relatively weak US dollar. The metal is trading at $27.60, which is higher than Thursday’s low of $25.88. Similarly, gold and copper prices are also relatively higher today.

Silver news: Silver price soared early this month as investors reacted to the new demand by social media traders. The rally was short-lived as the price tumbled by more than 13%. This week, the situation has changed, helped by the overall weaker US dollar. 

The dollar index has dropped substantially since Friday when the US published weak job numbers. As a result, there is talk by the Biden administration to provide more than $1.8 trillion in stimulus. Such a deal will be positive for silver because of its industrial characteristics. Also, such stimulus, at least in the short-term, will be bearish for the US dollar.

Silver price outlook

In my last update on silver, I pointed to the formation of the cup and handle pattern on the daily chart. This pattern still remains. In fact, we can argue that the recent decline was part of the handle pattern. In fact, looking at the chart shows that the lowest level on Thursday was also the highest point on November. 

Therefore, in my view, I suspect that the price will continue rising as bulls attempt to break past the YTD high of $30. However, another retest of $26 and below will invalidate this trend.

Silver chart

Written By: Crispus Nyaga

Crispus Nyaga is an analyst and consultant with more than 8 years of experience. He started trading Forex while completing his BSc degree and he has worked for brokers like OctaFX, easyMarkets, & Capital. He has also contributed widely in leading websites like rkdream.com, SeekingAlpha, iNvezz, DailyForex, and BanklessTimes. In 2017, Crispus completed his MBA.

Published by
Written By: Crispus Nyaga