Royal Dutch Shell: Have Q3 Earnings Set a Significant Low?

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Written By: Kevin George
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    Summary:
  • Royal Dutch Shell has rallied this week after the release of third quarter earnings. The company saw higher income and a surprise dividend hike.

Royal Dutch Shell has rallied this week after the release of third quarter earnings. The company beat expectations for income and also announced a surprise dividend hike.

The Anglo-Dutch energy major saw a return to profit after a record loss of $18.1 billion in the second quarter. Income attributable to shareholders came in just shy of $500 million, which was still 90% lower than last year’s $5.9 billion, but this is due to the effects of the coronavirus on oil prices and demand.

Shares in Shell have pushed higher this week from lows of 878 to 945, which includes a 2.25% gain today. The move higher could see a significant low as virus cases surge and oil traders price-in a gloomy outlook for demand. There has been talk of a potential coronavirus vaccine in December so we may be seeing the depths of the crisis as Europe moves to further lockdowns. The dividend increase may also attract institutional investors.

The company also announced a cash allocation framework that aims to reduce debt, increase shareholder distribution, and support disciplined growth. The framework aims to reduce debt to $65 billion form the current $75bn, which would then trigger plans to distribute 20-30% of cash flow from operations to shareholders.

RDSA Technical Outlook

The price of Shell has touched a low of 878 on the week and this has setup a potential double bottom at the low set near the end of September. Price has also broken out of a downtrend resistance line and the path is now clear to the 1,000 level with key resistance coming in at 1035.  

RDSA Weekly Chart

Written By: Kevin George

Kevin George has over twelve years' experience in financial markets trading, which included stints in London and New York, trading equities and currencies. He has also traded in commodities, equities, futures and options. He has extensive technical-experience and combines this with a fundamental overview. He has published for SeekingAlpha, where he runs his own subscriber newsletter and graduated with an MSc in finance in 2017.

Published by
Written By: Kevin George