Gold Price Consolidates Ahead of Core CPI Data As Tapering Looms

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Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)
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    Summary:
  • Gold price (XAU/USD) continues to trade sideways ahead of the US CPI data for September scheduled for release on Wednesday.

Gold price continues to trade in a sideways trend, ahead of Wednesday’s crunch CPI data. The market prediction is for a slight increase in core consumer inflation from 0.1% to 0.2%, while the headline figure remains static at 0.3%.

Rising inflation has been the deciding factor that has set up the potential commencement of tapering in November. The markets are still pricing in this date despite a softer-than-expected jobs number for September. 

Fed policymaker and Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic was quoted in a Financial Times interview saying that the US labour market had made sufficient progress to allow the Federal Reserve to taper its $120 billion a month QE program. He also reiterated that he would be comfortable with a November commencement date.

A stronger inflation number reinforces this sentiment and could lead to a stronger greenback. 

Gold Price Outlook

The 4-hour XAU/USD chart shows that gold price is trading sideways, with 1768 serving as the ceiling and 1746 serving as the floor. A break above the range targets 1789 as the primary barrier, with 1800.00 and 1815 serving as additional targets to the north.

On the flip side, a decline below the range targets 1741, with 1719 and 1699 serving as additional downside targets. This may be the outcome if the CPI numbers trend upwards.

XAU/USD Chart (4-hour)

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Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)

Eno is a certified financial technician and member of the UK Society of Technical Analysts. He loves to trade and write about stocks, Forex, and CFDs. Since 2009, he has consulted several financial companies as a trader and strategy developer. His work can be seen on several forex blogs and trading educational websites.

Published by
Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)