GBPUSD Spikes on Brexit Deal Hopes

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Written By: Alejandro Zambrano
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The British Pound (GBPUSD) rose sharply at 09:15 London time on The Times reporting that diplomatic sources near to the Brexit negotiations said that the Northern Irish assembly might be given a mechanism for leaving a potential backstop after a certain number of years. If this is true, then it will help PM Johnson to land a deal.

The Financial Times has also reported Boris Johnson will struggle with his no-deal Brexit view in the case of a general election, as the FT says that at least fifty Conservative PMs would revolt in the coming general election. If the Conservatives pivot for a softer Brexit, then that would help the GBP, on the other hand, it will strengthen the Brexit Party.

Yesterday the GBPUSD pair reached the October 1 low of 1.22 as I have been projecting since early October when I said that traders would probably short GBPUSD between 1.2386 and 1.2503 to target 1.22.

Today, the trend remains bearish below the October 3 high of 1.2422, and if the price was to revisit the 1.2300 to 1.2422 interval, then I think traders will see this as an opportunity to short-sell the British pound with a target of 1.21. However, if the price were to trade above the October 3 high, then traders might target the next resistance level, the September 24 high of 1.2504.

For more on the short-term technical levels that traders are watching, watch our daily morning Brief video below.[vc_video link=”https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGYZ1kKc6E0″ title=”Morning Brief”]

Written By: Alejandro Zambrano

Alejandro Zambrano combines extensive professional experience and a pragmatic attitude to trading, building clients’ understanding of the markets and the rationale behind investing. Zambrano was the Chief Market Strategist of the FCA regulated broker, Amana Capital. Prior to that, he was also the Head Analyst at FXCM’s London research desk. Interact with Alex via Twitter at @AlexFX00.

Published by
Written By: Alejandro Zambrano