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London FTSE 100

FTSE 100 Might Exceed Critical High on Bank of England Dovish Shift

    Summary:
  • The FTSE 100 spiked higher by 0.13% within the first five minutes of the Bank of England (BoE), deciding to leave the rate unchanged at 0.75%.

The FTSE 100 spiked higher by 0.13% within the first five minutes of the Bank of England (BoE), deciding to leave the rate unchanged at 0.75%. Economists were not anticipating a change in interest rates. Yet, if we look at the details, the Bank of England has undoubtedly taken a dovish shift, as two out of nine members voted for a rate cut.

The dovish move caused the GBPUSD pair to spike lower, and at the time of writing, the GBPUSD was trading 40 pips above the October 24 low of 1.2789. A break to the October 24 low, will most likely turn the trend bearish for the British Pound, and this should boost the FTSE 100.

A rate cut, if it happens later in the next few months should also help FTSE 100 firms focused on the domestic market as it might help to bring back growth into the UK economy. The second-quarter GDP growth was negative 0.2%, and leading indicators like the UK Services PMI and Manufacturing PMI, indicate that the weak economy extended into the third quarter.

FTSE 100 Technical Forecast

The very short-term trend in the FTSE 100 is bullish above the November 5 low of 7362, and as the tendency is bullish and the BoE is now turning dovish, it might help the index to trade above the September 27 high at 7445. If traders successful break the September 27 high, the traders might target the psychological level of 7500, followed by the August 1 high of 7613.

For the bearish traders to take over, they would need to push the price below the November 5 low at 7362, and this might send the FTSE 100 index to the October 31 low at 7240.