EURUSD Falls to 4-month Lows Ahead of NFP on Disappointing Industrial Production Reports

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Written By: Angeline Feliciano
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    Summary:
  • EURUSD is under selling pressure ahead of the US NFP report following the disappointing industrial production reports from Germany and France.

EURUSD is under selling pressure today following the roster of negative data from euro zone. The currency pair’s initial fall was brought about by disappointing German data. According to Destatis, German industrial production contracted by 3.5% in December. It was bigger than the 0.2% fall that analysts had predicted. On the brighter side of things, Germany’s trade balance report topped expectations at 19.2 billion EUR. It was higher than the 16.4 billion EUR trade surplus that was anticipated.

However, a few minutes later, data from the euro zone’s second-largest economy exacerbated the slide in EURUSD. French industrial production for the same month declined by 2.8% and missed the -0.3%. Just like Germany, its trade balance report came in better than expected. The forecast was for a trade deficit of 5.1 billion EUR but it printed at -4.1 billion EUR.

Consequently, EURUSD is trading at its 4-month lows around 1.0960.

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The US NFP report is due later today at 1:30 pm GMT. The forecast is for job growth amounting to 163,000 and for the unemployment rate to come in at 3.5%. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings is seen at 0.3%.

Positive figures could probably fuel the drop on EURUSD even further. The next support level is around 1.0890 where it bottomed on September 2019. On the other hand, better-than-expected figures could help the currency pair climb its way back to 1.1000 where it previously found support.

Written By: Angeline Feliciano

Angeline Feliciano has been trading Forex for over ten years. She has invaluable experience working in FX education companies like BabyPips.com and Learn to Trade as a trader, currency analyst, trading coach, and presenter. Aside from these roles, she has also created intensive educational content on fundamental analysis which is heavily sought after by retail traders. She has taught hundreds of people how to trade the FX market in the Philippines and in Australia. When she is not trading, you can find her in the gym lifting weights.

Published by
Written By: Angeline Feliciano