EURGBP Steadies After Breakout with No-Deal Brexit Risk

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Written By: Kevin George
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    Summary:
  • The EURGBP pair spiked higher last week after the threat of a No-Deal Brexit came back to the fore as U.K. PM Boris Johnson threatened to walk away.

The EURGBP pair spiked higher last week after the threat of a No-Deal Brexit came back to the fore. Prime Minster Boris Johnson warned the European Union that the U.K. would walk away from talks if there was no agreement by the October deadline.

Johnson was looking to override the withdrawal agreement with an Internal Market Bill, which addresses the Northern Ireland border issues. The bill seeks to give more power to UK ministers so they can modify rules on the movement of goods. The Prime Minister is now facing tension within his own party, as well as with Brussels.  

Today sees the release on industrial production figures with analysts expecting a print of -8.2% after July’s -12.3%. The next key releases for the pair will be on Thursday with the Bank of England rate decision and the EU consumer price index. The latter could be market-moving after last month’s negative inflation from the EU.

A report from Bloomberg said that Hedge Funds had increased their bets on the British Pound just before the latest talks broke down. After the risk of No-Deal came back then these traders would have bailed out of those pound longs and this would have added fuel to the latest Euro rally. 

EURGBP Technical Outlook

EURGBP completed a strong move from resistance and powered through the resistance I noted at 0.9150, which now becomes the support for a consolidation move. The next targets are 0.9300 and 0.9500. The Investing Cube team are available for Trading Coaching. More details can be found here.

EURGBP Daily Chart

Written By: Kevin George

Kevin George has over twelve years' experience in financial markets trading, which included stints in London and New York, trading equities and currencies. He has also traded in commodities, equities, futures and options. He has extensive technical-experience and combines this with a fundamental overview. He has published for SeekingAlpha, where he runs his own subscriber newsletter and graduated with an MSc in finance in 2017.

Published by
Written By: Kevin George