EUR/USD Outlook: Price Picture on 4-Hour Chart Points To Further Downside

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Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)
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    Summary:
  • The price picture on the 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD points towards a further downside move, which could send the pair towards the 1.18 mark.

The EUR/USD has come under renewed pressure this Monday, as the US Dollar trades mildly higher across a basket of currencies. US Treasury bond yields continue to trade around 1-year highs, lending support to the greenback ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. 

The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index came in better than expected, posting a figure of 17.4 versus the consensus of 14.6 and the previous figure of 12.1.

With a day that is light on economic data, all eyes are expected to remain in the US long-term bond yields as the primary driver of price action on the EUR/USD.

Technical Levels to Watch

The 4-hour chart reveals the presence of a bearish flag, with price having broken below the flag with a pullback that was equally rejected at the intersection of this border and the 1.19472 resistance. This level is the price to beat for bulls. A break above this level and subsequent uncapping of the 1.19999 resistance invalidate the bearish flag. 

However, another rejection reinforces the 1.19472 as a strong resistance pivot on which bears could drive the price action towards a projected objective at 1.18008. This move would need to take out the 1.18927 and 1.18395 support levels to be attained. 

EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart

Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)

Eno is a certified financial technician and member of the UK Society of Technical Analysts. He loves to trade and write about stocks, Forex, and CFDs. Since 2009, he has consulted several financial companies as a trader and strategy developer. His work can be seen on several forex blogs and trading educational websites.

Published by
Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)