EUR/USD Bounces from Support and Threatens with New Highs

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Written By: Mircea Vasiu
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    Summary:
  • EUR/USD bounces from a strong confluence area and now trades with a bid tone ahead of the Fed's Powell testimony later in the North American session.

The EUR/USD pair is back with a vengeance. After it traded with a bearish tone for the entire month of January, the trend reversed in February as it bounced from an important confluence area.

A confluence area is given by both dynamic and support levels. The market finds multiple elements of technical support, and it bounces. This is exactly what the EURUSD did – it found dynamic support at the lower edge of a rising channel but also horizontal support provided by previous horizontal resistance.

The USD is on a trend lower once again. Not only the EUR/USD is bid, but also other G10 currencies, like the AUD/USD or the GBP/USD.

Today we will hear the first of the two testimonies that the Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, will hold this week. Today is the most important one because of the element of surprise. Usually, the Fed’s Chair only repeats the testimony on Wednesday’s hearing.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

While inside of the rising channel, the EUR/USD pair remains bid. Bulls may want to stay on the long side with a stop at the support area and a take profit at a new higher high or defined by a risk-reward ratio of 1:2. Bears may want to try their hand on the short side, but only if the EURUSD makes a new lower low and moves below 1.1950.

EUR/USD Price Forecast

Written By: Mircea Vasiu

Mircea, MBA in International Business graduating Magna Cum Laudae, trades for a living and contributes to various financial publications for more than six years. He writes about macroeconomics, stock indices, currencies, and most recently ETFs and individual stocks. For the past decade, he’s involved in everything trading related, mostly in the currency market, both with manual and algorithmic trading.

Published by
Written By: Mircea Vasiu