EUR/JPY Meets Dynamic Resistance While Testing 134

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Written By: Mircea Vasiu
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    Summary:
  • EUR/JPY meets resistance at the upper trendline of a rising wedge pattern. The pair traded with a bid tone all month as it climbed to 134.

If there is one currency pair that traded with a bid tone this year, it is the EUR/JPY cross. The pair benefited from a weak yen as well as from a strong euro, and now threatens to break above 134.

Consider yesterday, for example. The EUR/USD pair has a hard time breaking below 1.2170 area and keeps bouncing back to 1.22. At the same time, the USD/JPY rallied from 109 close to 110. Therefore, the combined price action on the two majors translated into a stronger EUR/JPY and the cross rallied a hundred pips.

However, at the current levels, the cross meets dynamic resistance at the upper side of a rising wedge. A rising wedge is a bearish pattern and the focus now shifts to the 133 area. A break there should trigger more weakness, but it is unlikely that such a break would come in the last trading days of the month.

The euro traded with a bid tone all month. The expectations are that the ECB will taper the asset purchases earlier than the Fed and this keeps a bid tone behind the common currency. The vaccination campaigns across Europe picked up in the second quarter of the year, giving another reason to buy the currency on a stronger than expected economic recovery.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

Bears may want to sell the EUR/JPY short against 135 and targeting a move back to 130. On a break and close below 133, bears may want to add on weakness.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast

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Written By: Mircea Vasiu

Mircea, MBA in International Business graduating Magna Cum Laudae, trades for a living and contributes to various financial publications for more than six years. He writes about macroeconomics, stock indices, currencies, and most recently ETFs and individual stocks. For the past decade, he’s involved in everything trading related, mostly in the currency market, both with manual and algorithmic trading.

Published by
Written By: Mircea Vasiu