Ethereum price rally slows, but $4,000 is still on the table for ETH

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne
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    Summary:
  • The Ethereum price has run into significant overhead resistance at $3,650 over the last week. However, ETH sees good scale down support

The Ethereum price has run into significant overhead resistance at $3,650 over the last week. However, ETH sees good scale down support, which should underpin the push to $4k. Despite Bitcoin (BTC) pushing to a five-month high yesterday, Ethereum (ETH) slid 4.5% in Sunday trading and continues to under-perform the market leader.

ETH price started October well, surging 22% in the first eight days of the month. However, after reaching a three-week high of $3,670, the price slumped 8% to this morning’s $3,370 low. Nonetheless, Ethereum has climbed 30% from the $2,650 low set in late September. Furthermore, a recent report from JP Morgan highlighted that institutional investors show a strong preference for Ethereum over Bitcoin. Despite that, ETH has lost ground to BTC recently as the market leader benefits from the increasing likelihood of a Bitcoin-based ETF receiving regulatory approval in the US. However, the Ethereum price shows resilience and holds above the critical $3,330, which is encouraging.

ETH Price Forecast

The daily chart shows ETH is sitting between trend support and trend resistance. A descending trend line from the May all-time high offers significant resistance at $3,850. If ETH clears $3,850, an extension towards the ATH is possible. Ahead of the trend, $3,650 offers interim resistance. Notably, the bounce from the Evergrande default low on the 7th of September failed at $3,650.

On the downside, the 50-day moving average at $3,350 is the first support. Notably, this aligns with the former resistance in August at $3,330 and is the first critical level for the bulls to watch. Further price support is visible at a rising trend line at $3,000. Following that, the 100 DMA at $2,940 and the 200 at $2,736 provide additional coverage. As long as ETH holds the trend and the 100 DMA, the outlook is constructive. However, the bullish view becomes invalid on a close below the 100 DMA at $2,940.

Ethereum Price Chart

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne

Elliott Laybourne is an accomplished Hedge Fund sales and Investment bank trading specialist. Elliott also started a successful Base Metals Brokerage business in partnership with ABN AMRO clearing bank. He worked on the open outcry trading floors at the London International Financial Futures Exchange 'LIFFE' and the London Metal Exchange 'LME.' He also provided research and execution services for Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Schroders Asset Management, and Pennsylvania State Public School Employees Retirement System, as amongst others. Today, he focuses on providing trading consultancy and business development services for family office and brokerage clientele.

Published by
Written By: Elliott Laybourne