Dow Jones
Dow Jones continues its consolidation below the 30,000 level. Bears may argue that a triple top is in place. After all, the index did fail at the level three times in a row.
However, before calling for a bearish reversal, the price needs to invalidate some levels first. As it looks now, the Dow can break either way.
In a little over thirty minutes, we have the Initial Jobless Claims data. If last week’s better than expected data is confirmed today, the Dow may stage another attempt to the 30,000 level.
In technical analysis, there is a saying that “triple tops rarely hold”. If that is the case here, the Dow may actually form an ascending triangle instead of a triple top.
More details are needed in both cases. As such, bears may want to wait for a break of the 29,000 before going short. Also, bulls may want to wait for a break of the 30,000 before going long. In both cases, a stop-loss at the other level and a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 make sense for both bulls and bears.
