Dow Jones Gains As Fed’s Inflation Gauge Drops By One Point

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Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)
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    Summary:
  • The Dow Jones is trading higher as the Core PCE Price Index drops from 0.2% in January to 0.1% in February, staving off inflation fears.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading higher for the 2nd day in a row, buoyed by a fall in the Fed’s key measure of inflation. 

Data released on Friday showed that Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index for February gained 0.1%, which was lower than the 0.2% gain in January. The annualized figure also fell from 1.5% to 1.4%, showing that inflationary pressure relative to the Fed’s 2% target remains subdued. Personal Incomes and Consumer Spending also dropped.

The Fear and Greed Index shows that the market is now in a neutral phase where there is neither fear nor greed. At 46.0, the index has ticked lower from a week ago, when the reading was at 53.0. This shows a market that is gradually tilting to where institutional investors typically start accumulating. 

The Dow is trading 0.56% on the day and looks set to post a marginally higher weekly close if things continue as they are doing. 

Technical Outlook for Dow Jones

Today’s follow-up bounce after yesterday’s closing violation of the 32666 resistance (15 March low) could end up confirming a breakout if the candle maintains a higher close. This scenario would open the door for the Dow Jones to attempt breaking the present all-time high at 33252. If this level is uncapped, we could see new highs that aim for the 34,000 psychological resistance, and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension of the 12 May 2020-2 September 2020 price swing at 34216. 

On the flip side, bears would be hoping for a breakdown of the 32084 support, which brings in 31739 and 31282 as potential downside targets. This move would have to come off a rejection at 33252, followed by a breakdown of 32666. 

Dow Jones Daily Chart

Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)

Eno is a certified financial technician and member of the UK Society of Technical Analysts. He loves to trade and write about stocks, Forex, and CFDs. Since 2009, he has consulted several financial companies as a trader and strategy developer. His work can be seen on several forex blogs and trading educational websites.

Published by
Written By: Eno Eteng (MSTA)