Disney Share Price Tumbles As Streaming Subscriber Growth Disappoints

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne
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    Summary:
  • A top-line revenue miss and stalling Disney+ subscriber growth has sent the Disney share price tumbling 3.75% in after-hours trading.

A top-line revenue miss and stalling Disney+ subscriber growth has sent the Disney share price tumbling 3.75% in after-hours trading.

The entertainment giant reported its first-quarter earnings after the bell last night.

  • Adjusted EPS $0.79 vs. estimate $0.32
  • Revenue $15.61 Billion vs. estimate $15.85
  • Disney+ subscribers 103.6 Million vs. estimate of 110.3 Million

Whilst the bottom-line earnings per share increased, the Disney share price clearly reacted to the revenue and subscriber data.

Disney, up until last night, had managed to make the most of a challenging trading environment over the last 15 months. Obviously, the company has taken a hit at its theme park division but has more than offset that with the introduction of its Disney+ streaming service.

The success of the ‘Netflix killer’ had helped the Disney share price achieve a new all-time high of $203.00 earlier this year. The stock had risen over +150% from its pandemic low of $79.07 at the March peak.

User growth Stalls

The subscriber numbers for Disney+ missed analysts’ consensus estimates by close to 7 million users. This more than offset the positive EPS and was the catalyst for the Disney share price to lose -3.75% in a sharp decline to $169.37.

The price did recover marginally to $171.25, but the technicals have now left the stock open to more losses when trading resumes today.

Technical Outlook

On the 4-hour chart we can see that the price has broken below the support of a descending channel at $176.

The trend line, in place from the 8th of February low at $188.50 had be3en agood area of support.

The breach of this level now points to horizontal support at $161.85. This trend links the 10th of December high and the 27th of January low.

The last time the market touched this line, the Disney share price bounced 26% to its March high. Therefore I consider this an important threshold.

A close back above the descending trendline at $176.00 would negate the immediate bearish outlook and could see the market trade higher to the resistance of a descending trendline at $186.50

Disney Share Price Chart

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne

Elliott Laybourne is an accomplished Hedge Fund sales and Investment bank trading specialist. Elliott also started a successful Base Metals Brokerage business in partnership with ABN AMRO clearing bank. He worked on the open outcry trading floors at the London International Financial Futures Exchange 'LIFFE' and the London Metal Exchange 'LME.' He also provided research and execution services for Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Schroders Asset Management, and Pennsylvania State Public School Employees Retirement System, as amongst others. Today, he focuses on providing trading consultancy and business development services for family office and brokerage clientele.

Published by
Written By: Elliott Laybourne