Crude Oil Finds Support at $45 Ahead of OPEC Decision

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Written By: Kevin George
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    Summary:
  • Crude oil was higher by 0.75% on Tuesday as OPEC entered the second day of talks to decide on their course of action with supply cuts.

Crude oil was higher by 0.75% on Tuesday as OPEC entered the second day of talks to decide on their course of action with supply cuts. W.T.I. crude was finding buyers at the $45 level and an OPEC extension could propel the commodity towards $50 in December.

No agreement was made on Monday about whether to continue with the current supply cuts but markets are expecting a three-month extension. It was also reported that Saudi Arabia is considering resigning from its role as co-chair of the group’s Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee. The Kingdom shares this role with Russia and it may suggest that there is a disagreement between the two nations.

Bloomberg reported yesterday that a large short position had been built up in Brent crude and this could see a short squeeze into year-end if oil rallies on the OPEC announcement. Traders marked as “other reportables“ by regulators and exchanges now hold a record short of nearly 470k Brent futures contracts, according to ICE data.

Crude Oil Technical Outlook

After rallying through the $63.50 resistance level, oil is now finding support at $45.00. This is the key level for the OPEC meeting and will decide whether we see $40 or 50 in December. If we go higher then a short squeeze is possible. The Investing Cube team is currently available to help all levels of traders with the Forex Trading Course or one-to-one coaching

Crude Oil Daily Chart

Written By: Kevin George

Kevin George has over twelve years' experience in financial markets trading, which included stints in London and New York, trading equities and currencies. He has also traded in commodities, equities, futures and options. He has extensive technical-experience and combines this with a fundamental overview. He has published for SeekingAlpha, where he runs his own subscriber newsletter and graduated with an MSc in finance in 2017.

Published by
Written By: Kevin George