Can WISH stock price drop 20%? ContextLogic longs brace for more pain

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne
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    Summary:
  • The WISH stock price is on a three-week losing streak. Furthermore, ContextLogic is down 30% in July. Sadly, for the bulls, this looks set to continue.

The WISH stock price is on a three-week losing streak. Furthermore, ContextLogic is down 30% in July. Sadly, for the bulls, this looks set to continue.

ContextLogic Inc (NASDAQ: WISH) rounded off another miserable trading week with an 8% decline on Friday. The WISH stock price closed at $9.23, the lowest daily settlement since the 7th of June.

The poor run of form comes hot on the heels of a 100% rally in June. However, after failing to clear the $15.40 resistance on the 28th of June, WISH reversed course lower.

WallStreetBets popularity

Unlike many of the stocks favoured by the retail investors that frequent Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum, WISH is not a downtrodden legacy company. Online retailer, ContextLogic was listed on the Nasdaq in December 2020. However, after trading as low as $17.50 at the start of January, the retail army decided ‘they liked the stock’.

An 88% rally ensued, culminating in WISH topping out at $32.85 on the 1st of March. A 77% decline came next, which was reversed from $7.65 at the beginning of last month.

Despite the decline, the stock is once again trending on WSB. Leading me to believe the longs are still in. Coincidentally, GameStop Corp (NYSE: GME) and AMC Entertainment (NYSE: AMC) have also seen a resurgence of posts. This may prove fatal for WISH.

www.SwaggyStocks.com

ContextLogice price forecast

The daily chart shows the clear rejection of the $15.40 horizontal support, which started the recent decline. This should now be considered a key resistance level.

Additionally, considering the price action that followed, the June low at $7.62 is clearly a significant level to watch. Given the negative trajectory, it appears likely this support will soon come into focus.

Furthermore, the fact that ContextLogic is once again a hot topic on Reddit suggests that bulls are becoming frustrated and prone to bailing out.

As I mentioned in my June report, The short interest is relatively low and not really conducive to a short squeeze. Therefore, without a strong catalyst, the path of least resistance is lower. And until the WISH stock price clears $15.20, I see no real reason to buy it.

Not to mention what happens if WISH drops below $7.62. A dip into unchartered territory may be the trigger for forced liquidation, which sends the price materially lower.

For the sake of the bulls, I hope that doesn’t happen. However, my head tells me it’s more than possible.

WISH stock price chart (Daily)

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne

Elliott Laybourne is an accomplished Hedge Fund sales and Investment bank trading specialist. Elliott also started a successful Base Metals Brokerage business in partnership with ABN AMRO clearing bank. He worked on the open outcry trading floors at the London International Financial Futures Exchange 'LIFFE' and the London Metal Exchange 'LME.' He also provided research and execution services for Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Schroders Asset Management, and Pennsylvania State Public School Employees Retirement System, as amongst others. Today, he focuses on providing trading consultancy and business development services for family office and brokerage clientele.

Published by
Written By: Elliott Laybourne