Cryptocurrencies

Can the Ethereum price recover its bullish momentum, or is $3,850 calling?

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne
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    Summary:
  • The Ethereum price is down around 5% from Sunday's high of $4,458 and is in danger of erasing last week's rebound.

The Ethereum price is down around 5% from Sunday’s high of $4,458 and is in danger of erasing last week’s rebound. Ethereum (ETH) is softer in early Asian trading Monday, changing hands at $4,210 (-1.20%), a 7-day decline of -10%. The recent reversal has pushed ETH’s market cap below the $500 billion mark, but the tokens market dominance remains stable at 19.2%.

Similar to Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum made a new high in November. Following an 80% three-week increase, ETH achieved a personal best of $4,950, just short of the psychological $5,000 threshold. But since then, the cryptocurrency market has lost around $400 billion in value, with the Ethereum price correcting around -16%. Subsequently, there are mixed signals as to whether the recent rally has run its course.

Encouragingly, ETH was bid aggressively from last week’s low of $3,865, climbing almost 15% to $4,456 over the weekend. However, the rally stalled on Sunday as sellers emerged ahead of $4,500. As a result, the price now looks likely to retest the $3,850 level.

ETH/USD Price Analysis

The daily chart shows that selling accelerated as soon as Ethereum broke below the rising trend channel support at $4,520. I expect ETH to trade with a bearish bias until it recovers the trend, now at $4,775. A logical target on the downside is the $3,850 area that provided the support for last week’s bounce.

However, if the Ethjereum price slides below $3,850, there is a chance of deeper correction towards the 200-Day Moving Average (DMA) at $3,135.

For now, the longer-term outlook is unclear, although, in the immediate future, I expect the Ethereum price to test the $3,850 support. However, a close above Saturday’s $4,456 high will invalidate the bearish view.

Ethereum Price Chart (Daily)

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This post was last modified on %s = human-readable time difference 02:35

Written By: Elliott Laybourne

Elliott Laybourne is an accomplished Hedge Fund sales and Investment bank trading specialist. Elliott also started a successful Base Metals Brokerage business in partnership with ABN AMRO clearing bank. He worked on the open outcry trading floors at the London International Financial Futures Exchange 'LIFFE' and the London Metal Exchange 'LME.' He also provided research and execution services for Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Schroders Asset Management, and Pennsylvania State Public School Employees Retirement System, as amongst others. Today, he focuses on providing trading consultancy and business development services for family office and brokerage clientele.

Published by
Written By: Elliott Laybourne