Blackberry stock price slumps 8% to critical support

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne
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    Summary:
  • The Blackberry stock price sank to its lowest level in 2 weeks. BB has now lost ground in 7 out of the last 10 sessions. So is the comeback over?

The Blackberry stock price sank to its lowest level in 2 weeks. BB has now lost ground in 7 out of the last 10 sessions. So is the comeback over?

BlackBerry (BB:NYSE) closed the day at $12.88, lower by $1.11 (-7.93%)

This month’s price action in BB is starting to look spookily similar to January’s. At the start of the year, Blackberry, along with other so-called meme-stocks enjoyed a blistering run of form.

However, for the most part, the Reddit-fueled rallies were short-lived.

In October 2020, the BlackBerry stock price was languishing below $4.50 per share. A month later, it had more than doubled to $9.69. By January, BB had gained over +550% to a multi-year high of $28.77.

Over the next 4 months, BlackBerry trudged lower. And by May, it was back trading at single digits, below $8.00.

Meme stocks part 2

The meme stock story of January roared back to life around 4 weeks ago. AMC entertainment and Gamestop burst higher, taking BB along for the ride.

However, unlike AMC, whose short interest reached new highs in May, only 8% of BlackBerry’s available float has been lent to sellers. So BlackBerry is not as prone to a short-squeeze as some may think.

The recent run to $20.00 was fleeting. And again, similar to January, the BlackBerry stock price has corrected sharply lower. BB has given back 37% from the 3rd of June high.

BB technical outlook

Looking at the 4-hour chart, we see that the stock has retraced most of its vertical breakout. After clearing horizontal resistance at $12.15 on the 1st of June, BB added 65% in the following 2 days. So I consider $12.15 to be a major support level.

The price is fast approaching this support. And how BB reacts at this threshold will be key to its prospects. A close below $12.15 would suggest the price will head even lower.

In that instance, $9.60 is the next target. Following that, the trend line support around $8.00 would be the next logical stop.

Of course, BlackBerry may find some technical support above $12.00 and consolidate for a while. That scenario might indicate the bulls have not yet surrendered.

However, given the negative trajectory, I would favour the former.

BlackBerry stock price chart (Daily) Chart

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne

Elliott Laybourne is an accomplished Hedge Fund sales and Investment bank trading specialist. Elliott also started a successful Base Metals Brokerage business in partnership with ABN AMRO clearing bank. He worked on the open outcry trading floors at the London International Financial Futures Exchange 'LIFFE' and the London Metal Exchange 'LME.' He also provided research and execution services for Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Schroders Asset Management, and Pennsylvania State Public School Employees Retirement System, as amongst others. Today, he focuses on providing trading consultancy and business development services for family office and brokerage clientele.

Published by
Written By: Elliott Laybourne