Cryptocurrencies

Arweave Price at critical support says a 30% Move is Likely

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Written By: Elliott Laybourne
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    Summary:
  • The Arweave price has halved in the last month and now sits at a pivotal level, suggesting an explosive move could be imminent.

The Arweave price has halved in the last month and now sits at a pivotal level, suggesting an explosive move could be imminent.

Arweave (AR) is slightly higher at $56.83 (+1.80%) on Friday, a seven-day loss of 4.4% and almost 47% below last months all-time high. Over the previous four weeks, Arweave’s market cap has dropped from $2.9 billion to around $1.9, ranking it the 75th biggest cryptocurrency ahead of Dash.

Despite the recent pull-back, Arweave has performed incredibly in 2021, and the AR token is up 2,000% year-to-date. Furthermore, the price has seen similar-sized corrections several times before recovering over the last few months. However, in my opinion, Arweave is walking a tightrope at the current level, which may lead to substantial losses in the days ahead. On the plus side, if I’m wrong, it’s likely to be in a big way.

AR Token Price Forecast

The daily chart shows Arweave is trading just above the 100-Day Moving Average at $56.40 and trend support at $54.60. Simply put, a close below the trendline is highly bearish, whilst remaining above it is bullish.

If the AR token ends the day below the trend, I expect an extension lower towards the 200 DMA at $35.45, around 37% below the current price. On the other hand, if the trend line holds, Arweave should advance to the November 21st high of $73.85, around 35% above the current price.

Although I am leaning towards the bearish option, either scenario could play out. Furthermore, until Arweave breaks down, the rising trend line and the 200-DMA are the dominant themes. On that basis, the bearish signal only activates if the daily close is below $54.60. In that event, a close back above the trend invalidates the thesis.

Arweave Price Chart (Daily)

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This post was last modified on Dec 03, 2021, 08:03 GMT 08:03

Written By: Elliott Laybourne

Elliott Laybourne is an accomplished Hedge Fund sales and Investment bank trading specialist. Elliott also started a successful Base Metals Brokerage business in partnership with ABN AMRO clearing bank. He worked on the open outcry trading floors at the London International Financial Futures Exchange 'LIFFE' and the London Metal Exchange 'LME.' He also provided research and execution services for Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Schroders Asset Management, and Pennsylvania State Public School Employees Retirement System, as amongst others. Today, he focuses on providing trading consultancy and business development services for family office and brokerage clientele.

Published by
Written By: Elliott Laybourne